Going to pick games against the spread but instead of 3 games (as per norm in the NBA section), I'm going to go with a nice 5 game sheet. Here be the pickums!
Game 1: Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants (-6.5)
Bet: Giants by 7
Reasons: Giants are coming off their bye week and get time to rest up. They return to the field at home against a Falcons team that is going to miss the backbone of their offense in Michael Turner, who is likely out of Sunday's game with a high-ankle sprain.
Game 2: Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-9.5)
Bet: Jags by 10
Reasons: The Bills are spiraling after the firing of head coach Dick Jauron. They go up against a Jacksonville team who play considerably better at home than they do on the road (3-1 at home vs. 2-3 away). Their run game under Maurice Jones-Drew has been strong all year (860 yards rushing with 12 touchdowns - hes already outperformed his numbers from last season) while they always seem to get good production from wide receiver Mike Sims-Walker playing at home (28 receptions for 464 yards and 4 touchdowns over 4 games).
Game 3: Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens
Bet: Ravens plus the points
Reasons: Indianapolis barely squeezed out of their game against the Patriots with their undefeated record intact. This week, I dont believe that they will be as lucky. Baltimore's defense isnt what it used to be, but playing at home with the loud crowd should help in slowing down the Indy offense. We should see a lot of Baltimore running back Ray Rice in this game to keep Indy quarterback Peyton Manning off the field. I expect the game to be close and so I'll take the points.
Game 4: New York Jets vs. New England Patriots (-10.5)
Bet: New England by 11
Reasons: The Jets find themselves in the unenviable position of having to travel to New England and face a team that lost a game under questionable circumstances. For a whole week, people have been questioning Patriots head coach Bill Belichick and his decision to go for the first down on 4th and 2 on their own 29 yard line with less than 2 minutes left in the game rather than punting. With that said, Coach Belichick and the Patriots will come into this game motivated and look to make a statement to the rest of the NFL. Add to the fact that the Jets have lost 5 of their last 6 games and this game has blowout written all over it.
Game 5: San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers (-6.5)
Bet: San Francisco
Reasons: The Niners and Packers defense should be able to keep both offenses in check. In addition, running back Frank Gore will be featured throughout the game as I expect the Niners to not want to get Alex Smith in too many 3rd and long situations considering his propensity to give up the turnover and Green Bay's aggressive defensive schemes.
IN SUM
Giants (-6.5)
Jaguars (-9.5)
Ravens (+3.5)
Patriots (-10.5)
Niners (+6.5)
NFL Record: 0-0
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